Beavis+Butthead+library

Angry At Numbers

Even though any statistician worth his or her salt would say that two games and an overtime frame is hardly enough of a SAMPLE SIZE to glean anything meaningful from, there still are some interesting nuggets to be found.

.939/.714

Those are Corey Crawford’s save percentage splits even strength versus shorthanded. In the first two games much has been made of the lackluster penalty kill. It’s tough to find fault in Crawford’s contribution on the unit, as the whole has been entirely too passive, regardless of how much that passivity is a function of the Scud missiles coming from the left circle off the sticks of Ovechkin and Stamkos. But if the PK can find its legs in the next week or so and/or the Hawks can avoid recreating the parade to the box they found themselves in last Tuesday, Crawford’s even-strength save percentage should be more than enough to buoy a team built to wear opponents down 5-on-5.

12.5

Through two games, the Hawks are outshooting the opposition an average of 36.5 to 24.0. Granted, that number is slanted heavily by the giant bagel the Ning put up in the first period on Saturday. But if the Hawks are playing their game, they’re driving possession and limiting opportunities at the other end of the ice, and this is the most cursory indicator of that and befitting of this small sample size.

26.79

With Bryan Bickell’s promotion to full time duty with Daydream Nation, Brandon Saad was relegated to the third line ostensibly to slay bums. And slay bums he has. Not only does he have 4 points in two games, but his Corsi per 60 is shit hot. And he’s dragged Andrew Shaw with him.

0

Going into tomorrow’s action in West East St. Louis, of the major components to the top 6 (Toews, Kane, Bickell, Hossa), only Patrick Sharp is without a point so far. His 8 shots on goal through two games should have been enough based on his career shooting percentage to punch one home, but Michal Handzus plodding at center likely isn’t maximizing Sharp’s ability to make himself invisible in the offensive zone and get clean looks at the net. Sharp normally starts seasons hot and disappears right after New Year’s until around March, so to waste what’s typically his peak production time (especially with him turning 32 in December) would be a misstep, as Brandon Saad likely won’t be able to pick up all of that slack from the 3rd line for that long.

 

  • Hi, I’m Bob LeDonne

    The Committed Indian, come for McClures fashion advice and the Fifth Feathers zombie movie reviews, stay for McClures poop adjectives.

  • thepuckstopshere

    Damn, that stat made me feel better about Crow’s overall save %. Then again, I’ve been drunk as usual watching.

    Scum Jr. I’m here to tell you that life as you knew it has ended, strip off those tee shirts!

  • mad-hatter

    Sharp will be okay. His second daughter will be born and he’ll score all the goals as homage, the usual.

  • Bobby Otter

    HITS AND FIGHTS. I’D LIKE TO SEE THOSE STATS AS THEY EQUAL WINS.

  • Fleshrifle

    What about the Adjusted FQHS?? Adjusted-Foley Quoting Hits Stats. Adjusted FQHS is the ratio of the number of times Pat makes an annoying comment about the number of hits divided by the number of drinks he’s had before and during the game. If he’s been drinking heavily and the Hawks are losing, then this ratio goes down. If the Hawks are winning, he’s generally talking about golf…and drinking heavily..so in theory that ratio should be pretty low and even lower when the Hawks are winning..so…well uh..nevermind.

    • http://www.thecommittedindian.com/ Matt McClure

      “*IF* he’s been drinking heavily”?

      • Paul the Fossil

        “Heavily” is a relative term.

        • 10thMountainFire

          As we know from HIBLD.

  • Why

    I really enjoyed this. A discussion about stats that are bothering you discussed in a rational way? There’s probably more web hits in it for you if you take a “The Blackhawks are doomed” slant or really overplay the importance of these stats. I love the fact that we essentially got “Saad’s been playing really well through two (true)” instead of “Quenneville’s a fucking moron for not putting Saad on the first line”(didn’t happen, but would have been false). Thanks for this.

  • Bob Lanz

    insightful and yet non-controversial. I know we all are die-hard fans but over analyzing two games… shit who am I kidding its what we do, and if the damn schedule makers didn’t give us only two games in the first eight days we could at least have been over analyzing 4 games…right? SAAD!!!

    • bizarrohairhelmet

      2 games in the first 11 days…those bastards.

    • bizarrohairhelmet

      I told that fuck down at the league office– who’s in charge of scheduling?

      • 10thMountainFire

        Trade me right fucking now!

        • bizarrohairhelmet

          The correct response is “Burkhalter”

          • The_FFF

            I DON’T ROLL ON SHABBOS!

      • mazer_rackham

        They can fucking unpost it!

  • red palace

    Already with the numbers?!?
    Oh, I see now… It’s laaarmer, HE put you up to it.
    Okay, then, while you’re at it, what number is Kostka?
    /slow starter

  • VanDorp’sMullet

    Figured there might be some Pogues fans here. Sad news about Phil Chevron:

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/obituaries/culture-obituaries/music-obituaries/10365273/Phil-Chevron.html

  • 1benmenno

    Can a brother get a graph?

    • 10thMountainFire

      We don’t play favorites here, buddy. Build your own goddamn graph.

      • 1benmenno

        I’ll have to settle for a lap dance then.

  • 10thMountainFire

    So I just saw the Misericordia Home photos of Captain’s visit with The Cup.

    Who in the fuck is peeling onions in here?

    • lizmcneill

      Best Captain is such a great kid – look at him focused on the residents, not the cameras (and we know he can’t act…..)

  • Sparky_The_Bard-barian

    Crow’s 5×5 Save % is heartening, and a further sign that the problem on the PK lies in front of the blue paint, and not within.

    • lizmcneill

      and was injured for about half of it as well.